The official long range forecast for the 2013 southwest monsoon was released today.

The rainfall is most likely to be normal i.e., 96-104 percent of the long period average.

Quantitatively, it is likely to be 93-103 percent.  

The experimental Monsoon Mission model forecast is 99-109 percent.     

These figures will be updated in June.

The press release is available at

By the way, I have noticed from the press release that IMD now calls itself “ESSO-IMD”.